Avalanche Forecast

The above freezing layer will exist over the Northern regions through the forecast period. Temperatures could rise as high as 8 degrees above 1200 m and stay below zero with the outflow winds in the valleys. Patchy valley cloud may accompany the strengthening inversion as moisture becomes trapped. Ridgetop winds will generally be light and from the southwest.

Numerous natural loose avalanches from steep solar aspects were observed on Thursday. Surface snow may start to deteriorate especially on solar aspects with the warming. Watch for obvious clues of instability like natural avalanches, snow balling and moist/ wet snow. Reports also indicate that there has been some for glide crack activity, you don't want to be skiing anywhere near those things when they release. They can be very large and destructive.

The snowpack is extremely variable depending on aspect and elevation, with new wind slabs developing on reverse loaded southerly slopes and widespread surface crusts on all aspects at lower elevations. In the alpine, last weekends storm produced stiff wind slabs on northerly aspects, especially in the northern parts of the region. The snowpack doesn't adjust well to rapid change, so it may take several days to adjust and settle with the warm temperatures at higher elevations. Snow surfaces are becoming wet during the daytime and the average height of snow at 2000 m is near 150 cm. Due to limited observations, I have very little confidence in what that underlying structure may be, although I suspect faceting, crusts and possible surface hoar. One report mentions a series of crusts and faceted interfaces exist and are showing hard/ resistant results in snowpack tests, however; the fracture character is sudden and planar. If I were traveling in the mountains, I'd maintain an investigative approach and dig down to test for weak layers before committing to a slope.