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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 12th, 2014–Jan 13th, 2014
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: South Coast.

Weather patterns are divided across the the region: a clearing trend is forecast for the north, continued precipitation is expected on the Coquilhalla. Avalanche danger will be locally higher in areas that continue to receive heavy snowfall and wind.

Confidence

Fair

Weather Forecast

The north of the region will see a clearing trend over the next couple of days while moderate snowfall will continue through tomorrow in the Coquihalla.Tonight and Monday: Moderate snow locally in the south, dry in the north / Winds moderate to strong westerly / Freezing level 1300mTuesday: Cloudy / Winds moderate to strong westerly / Freezing levels to rise as high as 2500m.Wednesday: Cloudy / Winds light westerly / Freezing levels 2500m

Avalanche Summary

We have receive reports of a a widespread natural avalanche cycle with numerous large to very avalanches. Some reports indicate isolated avalanches are failing down on the old facet layer just above the ground.

Snowpack Summary

While the storm has passed in the North, local snowfall continues in the Coquihalla.The weekends storm clobbered the region with between 80-100cm of new snow now. Sustained moderate to strong south to southwest winds have created thick and reactive winds slabs. In the north of the region, the storm snow fell onto a week layer of surface hoar from earlier in the month. In areas with a shallow or rocky snowpack facets exist immediately above the ground. Although from the surface things are starting to look more normal for the coast, it is important to remember that the storm snow is sitting on a thin and weak midpack. The "wait 48 hours and you're good" Coastal mantra does not apply as these conditions are likely to persist for some time.These persistent weak layers do not seem to be as prevalent in the south where the early season snowpack was deeper and less affected by early December's cold temperatures.Snowpack depths at treeline range from 150-250 cm in the south of the region, and from 90- 150 cm in the north of the region. In glaciated terrain open and poorly bridged crevasses are everywhere although they are now hiding under a meter of unsupportive storm snow.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm slabs will continue to develop with the ongoing snowfall on in the south of the region. In all areas watch for large and reactive slabs in wind loaded north and east facing terrain at and above treeline.
The new snow will require several days to settle and stabilize.>Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 5

Deep Persistent Slabs

On the surface things are looking more "normal" but remember that in places the new snow is sitting on a weak and thin midpack particulary in the north.  Avoid slopes that were shallow and rocky before this last storm
Minimize exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach run out zones.>Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 3 - 6