Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 17th, 2021 8:03AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Loose Dry.

Kate Ryan,

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The park is busy! Be cognizant of groups around you.

The recent storm snow has gained strength, however uncertainty remains with the Jan 10 SH interface.

Summary

Weather Forecast

A cold front from the North Rockies to the South Coast will weaken and move across southeast BC today.

Today: Isolated flurries, 5cm. Freezing level 1200m. Winds W- 20 km/h gusting to 45

Tonight: Mainly cloudy with trace of snow. Freezing level 800m. Winds W- 20 to 40 km/h

Monday: Cloudy with sunny periods. Freezing level 800m. Winds NW- 10 to 20 km/h

Snowpack Summary

Up to 10cm overnight covers a thin surface crust on steep solar aspects. The Jan 10 surface hoar is down 35-65cm in sheltered terrain at treeline and below and is capped by a thin freezing rain crust in some locations. The Dec 7th surface hoar/crust/facet layer is down 1.5m. Crusts with facets persist at the base of the snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed in the past 2 days. On Thursday, field team members remotely triggered a size 1 slab on Jan 10 surface hoar at 1900m in the west end of the park, and the Lone Pine path glide crack on Mt Tupper released to ground size 3.

Confidence

Due to the quality of field observations

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

This layer is capped by a thin crust in many locations making it stubborn to initiate, however it has proven that it can still be triggered in sheltered locations. Avalanches caused by this layer may fracture above you!

  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.
  • Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, and shooting cracks.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

10-15cm of new snow overlays a sun crust on steep solar aspects, and surface facets on northerly aspects. If triggered, these avalanches may run quickly and gather enough mass to push around a skier or rider.

  • Avoid terrain traps, such as gullies, where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 18th, 2021 8:00AM