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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 16th, 2016–Mar 17th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

A 30 cm storm slab exists in the alpine and at treeline. This slab will become reactive quickly with even brief solar warming this afternoon.

Weather Forecast

Alpine temps will remain cool with freezing level up to 1200m, an alpine high of -6 deg with skies clearing in the afternoon. 3 cm of new snow is forecasted today with potential for more with isolated convective flurries. Ridge top winds will be westerly 20kph gusting 50 today and the relatively cool temps are expected to persist to the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

SW winds have created soft windslab on Alpine lee features & crossloads. Convective flurries have built a 30cm storm slab in the Alp & at TL which is reactive on a crust on specific terrain features. Feb 27th layer is down 70cm & reactive on solar slopes. Cornices are large, fragile and failing

Avalanche Summary

A 25cm storm slab has been catching riders off guard. There has been 4 reports of avalanches on this layer in the Connaught & Hermit areas. The largest was 20cm deep, 70m wide and ran 50m to a bench. The storm slab is poorly bonded to a crust and most reactive in unsupported terrain. Forecasters observed five sz 2's from steep terrain yesterday

Confidence

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.