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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 30th, 2015–Jan 31st, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Nasty ski conditions out there right now. Skiing is very difficult with breakable crust and/or boiler plate windslabs. Cooler temps will continue to lock the snowpack in place.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

A cloudy day for tomorrow. There is a chance we'll get a few cm's of snow, but not enough to have a significant effect on ski quality or avalanche conditions. The temperatures will fall slightly at all elevations. The 2500m high will be -5. Winds will be light from the NW.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches

Snowpack Summary

Forecasters went to the Commonwealth Loop today and battled the poor snow for the whole trip. Below treeline the heat has left a widespread temperature crust. For the most part this is breakable and does not carry a skier well. The crust was found as high as 2200m. It is likely higher, but the 2200m mark is where the boiler plate windslabs started. The entire alpine is covered with very dense windslabs and sastrugi. Treeline/alpine terrain has widespread, potentially triggerable windslabs. The Dec 13 crust was found to be 15-25cm's down with  a reasonable bond.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.