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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 27th, 2014–Dec 28th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Slabs sitting on the Dec 13th layer are still trigger-able at higher elevations. This avalanche problem will be slow to improve.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Temperatures will cool significantly over the next couple of days and winds should be light from the NW. Trace amounts of precipitation are expected over then next couple of days.

Avalanche Summary

A few very small sluffs in steep terrain at Alpine and Treeline elevations.

Snowpack Summary

No new snow overnight. Between 15 and 30cm of snow overlies the Dec 13th rain crust depending on elevation. Shears persist at this interface in wind affected terrain. This crust disappears above 2200m in most areas. Profile today at 2150m revealed a very dense mid-pack but this isn't the case in all areas. The November rain crust has deteriorated to facets and depth hoar.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.