Avalanche Forecast

Low - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.

The storm is expected to leave us with a few more centimetres of snow Tuesday night.

TUESDAY NIGHT: 2 to 10 cm of snow overnight with strong southwest wind at ridge top, temperature steady at -10 C.

WEDNESDAY: Broken cloud cover, daytime high temp around -10 C, light wind generally out of the south, trace of snow possible.

THURSDAY: Broken cloud cover, daytime high temp around -12 C, light wind generally out of the west, no significant snow expected. It looks like there could be an extreme wind event in store for the region Thursday night with extreme wind out of the southwest, a few cm of snow are expected Thursday night too.

FRIDAY: Broken cloud cover, daytime high temp around -10 C, strong to extreme south/southwest wind, no significant snow expected.

We do not have any recent avalanche observations. There may have been some avalanche activity during the day Tuesday. The amount of new snow is right at that threshold where there may have been some activity, or maybe not. If you're out and about, please send us your observations via the Mountain Information Network (MIN).  

Avalanche control work on Saturday produced many large wind slab avalanches on NE facing features around 1700 m. Most of these avalanches stepped down to weak facets and rocks.

On Nov 30, a size 2.5 skier-remote persistent slab was reported on the MIN (see report here). The avalanche was triggered from around 100m away, by a group of 5 riders on an east aspect at 1400m. The avalanche was suspected to have failed on an early-season facet/crust layer.  

The storm was a bit less productive than expected, we've picked up 15 to 20 cm of settled storm snow from the system as of Tuesday afternoon. The weather stations aren't showing much wind, but we got one observation of some ridge top transport. We're very short on observations right now, but Tuesday's storm snow probably rests on a combination of heavily wind effected surfaces and maybe some facets.

A facet/crust layer can be found near the bottom of the snowpack. This layer was reactive to human triggering last week with a notable skier-remote avalanche on November 30th. 

Snow depth at treeline is approximately 80-120 cm, depths in the alpine range from 100-200 cm.

• Start with conservative lines and watch for clues of instability.
• Watch for signs of instability like whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.
• Avoid thin areas like rock outcroppings where you're most likely to trigger avalanches failing on deep weak layers.