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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Feb 10th, 2023–Feb 11th, 2023
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: Glacier.

Fresh storm slabs will require some time to settle and stabilize, use extra caution as you transition into wind effected terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

There were a few large natural avalanches (up to size 3.0) from the steep terrain in the highway corridor east of the pass on Friday.

A cycle of natural avalanches occurred during Tuesdays storm, ranging from size 2-3.5. Most notably, there was a natural size 3.5 reported out of the Grizzly path in Connaught, this avalanche ran over the standard skin track.

Avalanche control on Tuesday was effective in producing widespread avalanches throughout the park, up to size 3.5, failing in the recent storm snow with large powder components.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 60cm of storm snow has fallen in the past week, leaving several potential failure planes in the upper snowpack.

The mid-snowpack is generally well bonded rounded grains.

The basal Nov 17 deep persistent weak layer has not produced any slab avalanches in GNP for a couple of weeks now, but persists in many places as faceted crystals - these are accompanied by a decomposing crust in some locations.

Weather Summary

An upper level ridge will give a brief break between storms on Saturday. The next system arrives Sunday night into Monday.

Tonight: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries, Alpine low -9°C. Moderate SW ridgetop winds.

Saturday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries. Alpine high -9°C. Light SW wind.

Sunday: Flurries turning to snowfall late in the day(5-10cm). Low -9°C, High -5°C. Moderate SW wind.

Monday: Snow (10-15cm). Low -13°C, High -6°C. Moderate-Strong SW wind.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded terrain features.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New snowfall and wind built fresh storm slabs on Friday, the potential for rider triggering will persist on Saturday.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3