Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Jan 6th, 2014–Jan 7th, 2014

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

3: Considerable

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Inland.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Light snowfall / Moderate southwest winds / Freezing level at 1100mWednesday: Light to locally moderate snowfall / Moderate to strong southwest winds / Freezing level at 1100mThursday: Light snowfall / Moderate to strong southwest winds / Freezing level at 700m

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported.

Snowpack Summary

A recent profile from 1400 metres elevation on a Northwest aspect in the Hankin area shows the height of snow to be 155 cm. A new layer of surface hoar has been reported to be about 3-5 mm tall and developing during the recent clear weather. There are a couple of resistant planar shears in the top 25 cm that may be reactive on buried facet layers. The snowpack was found to be generally gaining strength with depth until the bottom 40 cm that were weak facetted crystals down to the ground. Other reports from Hankin confirm surface hoar development and moderate resistant planar shears in the top 20-40 cm. but found basal weak layer to be closer to 15-20 cm above the ground. Reports from the Southwest of the region describe more recent storm snow and more wind effect, with sastrugi in open areas and scouring on ridge tops.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs may exist in the alpine and at treeline where recent storm snow was transported during the storm or where it was re-distributed by changing winds after the storm.

Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.>Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

A weak layer of facetted snow near the ground continues to be a concern in shallow snowpack areas.

Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.>Avoid thin, rocky or sparsely-treed slopes.>

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 4