Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 16th, 2016 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada Ian Jackson, Avalanche Canada

Pay attention to solar warming as the sun comes out over the next few days. Stay out of the big terrain unless you've got the luck of the Irish! Happy St. Patricks Day!

Summary

Weather Forecast

Clearing skies in the forecast starting on Thursday. This should bring about a more spring-like diurnal pattern of daytime warming on solar aspects and cold overnight temperatures. Winds should be light throughout the period.

Snowpack Summary

40 - 60cm of recent, dry storm snow overlies a well settled mid and lower pack. This new snow has formed slabs that overlie several suncrusts on S and W aspects and may bond poorly in some areas. No significant shears found in the mid and lower pack, however thin snowpack areas are still suspect.

Avalanche Summary

More avalanche control today on the sunshine road produced numerous large avalanches stepping down to ground on 5 of 8 shots. These were in thin, windloaded alpine areas on all aspects and show that the deeper weak layers are still reactive. Additionally, cornices were large and easily triggered.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Now that the sun is higher in the sky, buried suncrust becomes more of a problem. Presently there are several crusts buried on S through E aspects, with 30-70 cm overlying them.

  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Cornices are large and fragile right now. Numerous have been triggered by explosives and skiiers in the last few days and most have triggered slabs on the slopes below. Heads up as the sun destabilizes them further over the next few days.

  • Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.
  • Avoid slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if they have large cornices overhead.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Valid until: Mar 17th, 2016 4:00PM