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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 7th, 2015–Dec 8th, 2015
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Little Yoho.

Recent snow is making for excellent skiing! We are expecting a juicy storm starting Tuesday around noon which will raise the danger. If it doesn't materialize as forecast, the danger rating may be lower

Weather Forecast

The next storm is forecast to bring 20 - 30 cm's starting Tuesday around noon followed by a smaller system bringing 10-15 cm's starting on Wednesday at noon. Moderate to strong westerly winds will continue in the alpine and freezing levels look like they should peak Tuesday around 1700m  with the influence of the south westerly flow.

Snowpack Summary

The Dec 3rd interface is now buried by 30-50 cm of storm snow and is a layer to watch right now. This interface consists of facets and large surface hoar below 2000m, wind effect in the alpine, and suncrusts on steep S and SW aspects. Moderate S and SW winds are building soft slabs in the lee of alpine features. The lower snowpack is well settled.

Avalanche Summary

Small windslabs local to ridgecrests are reactive to skier traffic in the alpine and at treeline. Some cracking observed in a steep below treeline glade today where the Dec. 3rd surface hoar was present. Limited observations in the alpine due to poor visibility.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

30 -50 cms of storm snow in the alpine and at treeline is being blown by moderate to strong S/ SW winds and forming windslabs in immediate lees of prominent features and ridgelines.

  • Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Storm Slabs

30 - 45 cm's of new snow is slowly settling into a cohesive slab. This slab will be most reactive below 2000m where it overlies the Dec. 3rd surface hoar or facets.

  • Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.
  • Avoid open slopes and convex rolls at and below treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2