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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 15th, 2019–Jan 16th, 2019
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: North Columbia.

A cooling temperature trend is improving the snowpack. Wind slabs may still linger in lee and cross-loaded terrain.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY NIGHT: A mix of clouds and clear skies, light to moderate winds from south, alpine temperature -5 C, freezing level at valley bottom.WEDNESDAY: A mix of sun and clouds, light to moderate southwest winds, alpine temperature -5 C, freezing level at valley bottom.THURSDAY: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries, light to moderate winds from southeast, alpine temperature -5 C, freezing level at valley bottom.FRIDAY: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries, light to moderate winds from southwest, alpine temperature -5 C, freezing level at valley bottom.

Avalanche Summary

No new significant avalanche activity was observed or reported on Monday. However, there continue to be a sizeable persistent slab avalanche reported every few days.

Snowpack Summary

On south aspects, you will likely find a sun crust as it freezes with temperature cooling. Wind slabs may still linger in lee and cross-loaded terrain features in alpine and exposed treeline terrain.The middle and lower portions of the snowpack are generally well-settled and strong. However, there still remains a few deeper weaknesses in the snowpack around treeline and alpine elevations. Professionals are still tracking a layer around 150 to 200 cm deep, composed of sugary faceted grains, feathery surface hoar, and a sun crust. The base of the snowpack may also still be composed of weak faceted grains. These layers would most likely be triggered by humans in areas where the snowpack is shallow.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs may still linger in lee and cross-loaded terrain features.
If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

There have been a few recent large avalanches on deeper layers reported every few days within the region.
Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.Be aware of thin areas, where a triggered weak layer may propagate to deeper snowpack areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3.5