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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 12th, 2015–Mar 13th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Mt Hood.

Watch for loose wet snow conditions on solar slopes mainly above treeline if you venture out at Mt Hood Friday.

Detailed Forecast

A mostly sunny warm day should be seen on Friday with freezing levels rising to around 10-11,000 feet at Mt Hood.

Near and below treeline there wasn't any new snow Wednesday to Thursday morning so there should not be a significant change in the stable surface crusts and consolidated snow at Mt Hood.

Above treeline at Mt Hood use increasing caution if you see wet surface snow developing that is deeper than a few inches where loose wet snow avalanches should be possible mainly on solar slopes.

Remember that NWAC avalanche forecasts apply to terrain up to the Cascade crest level but not to the highest parts of the volcanoes where different more dangerous conditions are common.

Due to the low snowpack, especially below treeline, watch for terrain hazards such as open creeks, partially covered rocks and vegetation. Many areas below treeline do not have enough snow to cause an avalanche danger.

Heads up for the expected rain event on Saturday.

Snowpack Discussion

The latest warm dry period of the winter was seen from the start of March through Tuesday. This was mainly a period of consolidation and stabilizing. Reports indicated thickening surface crusts on most slopes and some corn snow development on solar slopes throughout the Cascades including at Mt Hood. There have not been any reports of significant avalanches for some time including Mt Hood.

A weak front crossed the Northwest Wednesday to Thursday morning. NWAC sites at Mt Hood picked up about .6-.7 inches of rain near and below treeline. There should have been up to a few inches of new snow above treeline.

There was nearly no snowfall January to so far in March near and below treeline. The snowpack at Mt Hood at lower elevations remains meager to non-existent. 

The mid and lower snowpack west of the crest including Mt Hood consists of layers of stable consolidated rounded grains or melt forms and crusts from multiple warm periods this winter.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.