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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 1st, 2012–Feb 2nd, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

Confidence

Fair - Freezing levels are uncertain on Friday

Weather Forecast

A ridge of high pressure moving in from the coast is expected to produce light southerly winds combined with broken skies and freezing levels rising to about 1300 metres by Thursday afternoon. Warm temperatures are forecast to persist through the night and into Friday morning. More clearing is expected on Friday. Freezing levels are expected to rise to about 1500 metres, and solar radiation should be strong on sun exposed slopes. Alpine temperatures are forecast to be around -3.0 in the alpine. Saturday is expected to be mostly clear with temperatures a few degrees cooler than Friday.

Avalanche Summary

Report of a natural avalanche size 1.5 dry slab with a 20-30 cm crown at 1900 metres on Grey Mtn near Rossland. Skier accidental size 2.0 dry slab avalanche reported from the back country near Whitewater ski resort on a North aspect near treeline.

Snowpack Summary

The recent storm snow layer is about 30-50 cm thick and is quite variable across the region. There are a couple of thin crusts buried below the storm snow that have been producing moderate to hard shears in tests. Some areas are still getting sudden planar shears on the mid-december surface hoar layer. The forecast warming trend may weaken the bond on the mid-december layer; particular concern in low snowpack areas.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.