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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 19th, 2013–Apr 20th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Light snowfall is forecast for Saturday. Moderate west winds are expected with freezing levels at about 1800m. On Sunday and Monday the region should see generally clear skies, light north winds and freezing levels at about 1500m.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported from the region.

Snowpack Summary

Variable amounts of snow fell throughout Thursday night and Friday with the greatest accumulations falling in the south of the region. More recent rain and warm temperatures have left snow surfaces moist to about 1950m. Cohesive new wind slabs are likely to exist at higher elevations.In the upper snowpack (down 50-70cm) a significant melt-freeze crust lingers. Some facetting has been observed above and below this crust. At the same interface spotty surface hoar may linger on high, sheltered north facing terrain. My best guess is that this interface has gained significant strength, although I would make further observations before committing to any steep, unsupported features in the alpine.Cornices are huge and will continue to grow with the forecasted precipitation.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.