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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 25th, 2017–Mar 26th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Avoid all big avalanche terrain that hasn't recently run.  The deep persistent slab is easily triggered from weak spots resulting in large full path avalanches.

Weather Forecast

Continued cool temps into next week with light flurries and SW winds.  Cloudy skies with sun expected on Tuesday. 

Snowpack Summary

The main concern in the snowpack at tree-line and above is the deep persistent slab over weak facet layer at ground. This slab can be triggered by travelers from shallow or weak locations or naturally from large loads such as cornice failure or windslab avalanches. All steep loaded slopes that have not recently avalanched should be avoided.

Avalanche Summary

A size 3 skier accidental slab avalanche was reported Saturday afternoon north of the Icefields on a NE aspect at tree-line. The avalanche was triggered from below as group worked their way through the trees. It was triggered from a whumph and propagated wide and ran to ground. One member was partially buried with no injuries.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations on Sunday

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.