While wind slab is likely the biggest concern, watch for a buried weak layer that could cause problems in steep terrain in sheltered locations.
Confidence
Moderate - Wind effect is extremely variable
Weather Forecast
Thursday night: 5-10 cm new snow expected.Friday: Flurries. Light easterly winds. Treeline temperatures around -12C.Saturday: Dry and sunny. Moderate northwesterly winds. Temperatures around -15C.Sunday: Dry and sunny. Light northwesterly winds. Temperatures around -15C.
Avalanche Summary
An avalanche cycle was reported from the east of the region on Wednesday where higher snow amounts occurred.
Snowpack Summary
In the southern and eastern parts of this region, up to a 80 cm of snow has fallen in recent storms, combined with variable winds. In the Elk Valley, the amount of new snow is more like 30 cm. The new snow has fallen on a variety of surfaces including old crusts, wind-scoured surfaces and, in sheltered terrain at and below treeline, very large feathery surface hoar crystals. The two crusts that were buried near the end of November can be found lower in the snowpack. A third crust from the end of October exists near the base of the snowpack. Recent testing on this crust did not produce significant results.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
Persistent Slabs
Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.