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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 18th, 2016–Jan 19th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Overall avalanche danger is decreasing. However watch for rising temps and increasing winds which could encourage snow settlement and slab development.

Weather Forecast

A series of low pressure systems will track trough the area this week. Expect minimal precipitation today (1cm of snow) and mainly cloudy skies.  Freezing level will get up to 1450m today with Alpine highs of -5 and SW winds in the light range.  Another system is arriving Thursday and could bring 15cm of new snow.

Snowpack Summary

In the alpine up to 50cm of new snow sits atop the January 4th interface. This interface is surface hoar in protected areas, sun crust on steep S - SW aspects and loose facets at tree-line and below. Where wind-affected, storm slabs have formed in lee features. Storm snow is unconsolidated at lower elevations but slab properties are developing.

Avalanche Summary

Yesterday 4 recent avalanches were observed in the highway corridor that were in the 1.5 - 2 size range. These avalanches were in very steep north facing terrain and involved only the recent storm snow. Backcountry reports came in of sluffing in steep shallow snowpack areas.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.