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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 24th, 2020–Jan 25th, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

Triggering avalanches remains likely where new snow and wind has formed storm slabs, especially at higher elevations.

Confidence

Moderate - The number, quality, or consistency of field observations is good, and supports our confidence.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with isolated flurries. Alpine temperature -5 C. Southwest wind 20-35 km/hr.

SATURDAY: Cloudy with scattered flurries, 5 cm. Alpine temperature -2 C. Southwest wind 20-30 km/hr. Freezing level 1400 m.

SUNDAY: Snow, 10-20 cm. Alpine temperature -2 C. Southwest wind 30-40 km/hr. Freezing level 1400 m.

MONDAY: Flurries, up to 10 cm. Alpine temperature -4 C. Southwest wind 15-20 km/hr with gusts to 50 km/hr. Freezing level 1200 m.

Avalanche Summary

Early reports on Friday documented numerous small (size 1-1.5) storm slab avalanches triggered by explosives. 

On Thursday, skiers triggered size 1-2 storm slab avalanches including this MIN report of a skier triggered avalanche at Kootenay Pass. This avalanche was triggered on a south aspect at treeline and ran for a long distance above the recently buried crust. Several loose wet avalanches were reported on southerly aspects below 2000 m.

No persistent slab avalanches have been observed since January 14, suggesting deep weak layers have become difficult to trigger under the current conditions.

Snowpack Summary

With 20-40 cm of snow over the past few days, expect to find fresh storm and wind slabs. Warm temperatures have promoted settlement in the upper snowpack and moist surface snow below 1700 m. This new snow sits above a thin crust layer that formed last weekend. 

We have been tracking two layers over the past month: a layer of surface hoar buried 80-120 cm below the surface and faceted crystals and crusts near the bottom of the snowpack in certain parts of the region (especially western areas such as the Rossland Range and Boundary region). Both of these layers have shown signs of being less reactive over the past 10 days.

Terrain and Travel

  • Be careful as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Approach lee and cross-loaded slopes with caution.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation.
  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.