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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 11th, 2024–Jan 12th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky, Brandywine, Garibaldi, Homathko, Spearhead, Tantalus, Sky Pilot.

Watch for wind slab in unusual areas from strong northwest winds.

Factor cold temperatures and wind chill in your trip plan this weekend.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

During the storm on Tuesday, operators reported up to size 3 avalanches from natural and human triggers. Explosive control work continued on Wednesday producing size 1 in wind loaded features and up to size 2.5 in steep and unsupported terrain.

A machine remotely triggered an avalanche on a northeast facing slope at treeline on Tuesday. It's unknown what layer this avalanche failed on, likely within the recent storm snow or on the buried melt freeze crust.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 50 cm of recent storm snow overlies wind-affected surface in exposed areas and in sheltered areas a weak layer of surface hoar. Northwest winds are expected to build wind slabs at higher elevations.

A melt-freeze crust is found 60-80 cm deep and becomes thin and variable above 1900 m.

Another crust from early Dec is 80-150 cm deep. A few large avalanches observed in the region on January 6 are suspected to have failed on this layer. While this layer is now less likely to produce avalanches, it is most likely triggered in high elevation areas where the snowpack is thin and shallow.

Snowpack depths are 120-230 cm around treeline and decrease rapidly below.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy with isolated flurries. Northerly winds 20-40 km/h. Treeline temperatures drop to -22 °C.

Friday

Sunny with northerly winds 20-40 km/h. Treeline temperatures drop to -25 °C.

Saturday

Sunny with northerly winds 15-30 km/h. Treeline temperatures reach -15 °C.

Sunday

Sunny with northerly winds 20-30 km/h. Treeline temperatures reach -10 °C.

With unusually cold temperatures forecast for this weekend, check out the most recent Forecaster Blog for tips on backcountry preparedness.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.