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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 22nd, 2023–Jan 23rd, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Banff Yoho Kootenay, Little Yoho, Banff, East Side 93N, Kootenay, Lake Louise, LLSA, Sunshine, West Side 93N, Field.

The upper snowpack is becoming more supportive, allowing for better travel. The lower snowpack remains weak and unsupported. Conservative terrain choices are still a good idea.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On a weather station repair flight today, Visitor Safety observed a size 2 avalanche on the East side of Copper mountain. A cornice pulled a slab at 2700m which was 50cm deep by 30m wide and ran about 800m. Sunshine patrol reported triggering a couple of size 2's at 2300m with explosives that scrubbed down to the ground in areas that were previously uncontrolled.

Snowpack Summary

10cm overlays a surface hoar /crust layer which is sporadic in the region. The Dec 17 surface hoar/sun crust layer is down 25-50cm, and generally not reactive. The Nov. 16 deep persistent layer is down 40-90cm and continues to produce sudden failures in snowpack tests. In Little Yoho, these two layers are deeper and more spread apart in the snowpack.

Weather Summary

Expect an increase in wind from the NW into the extreme range on Monday. Following the wind, a small amount of snow is expected Monday night, but not more than a few cm's. Valley temps will be about -10 and the ridge will be about -15.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Uncertainty is best managed through conservative terrain choices at this time.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.