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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 27th, 2023–Mar 28th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Crowsnest North, Crowsnest South.

Convective snowfalls continue to bring localized precipitation, especially in higher terrain.

This new snow will likely bond poorly to the underlying surfaces and be reactive to riders.

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Few natural dry loose avalanches (size 1) were released within the light snow from steep alpine terrain over the weekend.

A slab avalanche (size 1.5) was triggered by a snowmobiler near York Creek on Friday on a short but steep northerly slope below treeline.

Old evidence of avalanches are still visible in the region, including wet loose avalanches (size 1 and 2) on steep solar aspects and very large deep releases (up to size 2.5) in the Crowsnest South area. We suspect they occurred last week as a result of strong sun and warmer temperatures last week.

If you have any observations from this data sparse region, let us know what you are seeing by submitting a report to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Generally, 15-20 cm of new snow overlies a crust on solar aspects, faceted snow and surface hoar (up to 10 mm) in shaded and wind-sheltered areas. Wind-affected surfaces are also found in exposed areas. At lower elevations, a crust exists on or near the surface.

A melt-freeze crust with facets above can be found 50 to 120 cm deep, but it has not produced any recent avalanche activity in the region.

The weak layer at the base of the snowpack produced some large avalanches with strong sun and warm temperatures last week. Activity on this layer has tapered off with cooler temperatures and overnight recovery, but professionals are still tracking it to watch for signs of it waking up.

Weather Summary

Unsettled weather will continue to bring scattered flurries Monday night, especially in higher terrain. The region will be under a building ridge of high pressure, with calm and dry conditions for the rest of the week.

Monday night

Cloudy. Isolated flurries. Local amounts up to 5 cm. Low alpine temperatures of -10 °C. Light northeast ridge wind. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Tuesday

Mainly cloudy. High alpine temperatures of -6 °C. Light northeast ridge wind. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Wednesday

Generally sunny. High alpine temperatures of -2 °C. Light northerly ridge wind. Freezing level rises to 2000 metres.

Thursday

A mix of sun and clouds. High alpine temperatures of -3 °C. Light westerly ridge wind gusting 30 km/h. Freezing level rises to 1800 metres.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Closely monitor how the new snow is bonding to the crust.
  • Loose avalanches may start small but they can grow and push you into dangerous terrain.
  • Minimize your exposure time below cornices.

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.