Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 2nd, 2012–Jan 3rd, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Cariboos.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: up to 20 cm new snow with freezing levels around 1600 m. Strong southwesterly ridgetop winds. Wednesday: 10 cm new snow or rain with freezing levels rising to 2000 m. Strong Southerly ridgetop winds. Thursday: 5 cm new snow, freezing levels lowering to around 1000 m.

Avalanche Summary

Two large (size 3) cornice-triggered avalanches occurred in the alpine on Sunday. One stepped down into lower facet layers producing a crown up to 2 m deep. Another cornice-triggered avalanche occurred on Monday on a north aspect in the alpine; this one did not pull out a slab on the slope below.

Snowpack Summary

100 - 150cm of total storm snow has fallen in the region since Christmas. Winds have redistributed the storm snow into wind slabs that are quite widespread; you can find them at and above treeline in wind exposed locations. Even open areas below treeline are suspect for wind affected snow. A surface hoar/facet/crust interface (persistent weakness aka PWL) from mid-December is buried anywhere from 100-150cm deep & has been quite reactive making for touchy avalanche conditions.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.