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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 15th, 2020–Dec 16th, 2020

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Strong winds and falling snow throughout the day will create fresh wind slabs.

Weather Forecast

Parker Ridge Area

Wednesday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries. Precipitation: Trace. Alpine temperature: High -9 C. Ridge wind SW: 20 km/h gusting to 45 km/h.

Thursday: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Precipitation: Trace. Alpine temperature: Low -12 C, High -7 C. Ridge wind west: 10-30 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

Strong winds are creating wind slabs in the alpine and down into tree line. About 10cm of new snow, where not wind affected, is overlying surface hoar up to 2500m and widespread faced snow at all elevations. The snowpack is generally supportive despite facets and depth hoar at the base of the snowpack. The snowpack is 40-150cm.

Avalanche Summary

No patrol yesterday. On Monday natural avalanches (loose dry and wind slabs) up to sz 2 were observed from all elevations.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.