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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 2nd, 2022–Mar 3rd, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Cariboos.

With no significant change in the weather for several days the primary hazard is wind slab avalanches at upper elevations. 

Confidence

High - Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy skies with isolated flurries bringing trace amounts of snow, light wind from the southwest, treeline temperatures drop to -10 C.

THURSDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, no significant precipitation, light wind from the northwest, treeline temperatures reach -5 C with freezing level climbing to 1200 m.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny, light wind from the north, treeline temperatures around -8 C.

SATURDAY: Mix of sun and cloud, light wind from the north, treeline temperatures around -10 C.

Avalanche Summary

There have been limited observations over the past few days due to poor weather. Some small (size 1) slab and loose avalanches were reported at lower elevations on Monday and a larger (size 2) wind slab was triggered by a rider on a northeast aspect at 1900 m near Valemount on Sunday. Recent snow should stabilize relatively quickly, with the possible exception of wind loaded slopes at higher elevations.

Snowpack Summary

Recent storm snow has likely settled into 10 to 30 cm of heavy powder at upper elevations and wet/crusty snow below 1500 m. It sits above a variety of hard layers, including wind-affected snow on alpine slopes and a sun crust on steep south-facing slopes, and possibly some feathery surface hoar in sheltered terrain. The lower snowpack is generally well settled, with prominent crust layers 40 to 100 cm deep. Around Blue River there have been reports of surface hoar crystals around these crusts, but there has been minimal evidence that these layers could still produce avalanches.

Terrain and Travel

  • If you are increasing your exposure to avalanche terrain, do it gradually as you gather information.
  • Be carefull around freshly wind loaded features.
  • Use ridges or ribs to avoid areas of wind loaded snow.
  • Caution around convexities or sharp changes in terrain.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.