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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 20th, 2022–Mar 21st, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Glacier.

Quality winter snow is preserved on north-facing slopes, but be wary of freshly formed wind slabs in the alpine!

Weather Forecast

A weak transient ridge sets up today, but will be ousted by another system on Tuesday.

Tonight: Flurries, trace accumulations. Low -9*C, Freezing level (fzl) 800m. Moderate SW wind.

Mon: Flurries (trace), low -9*C, high -5*C, fzl 1600m, mod SW wind

Tues: Flurries (4cm), high -1*C, fzl 1800m, mod SW wind.

Snowpack Summary

Approx 15cm of new snow fell in the last 24 hours with convective cells around the park. The Mar 11th suncrust is buried 50-70cm, and in some locations has weak, sugary snow around it. On shaded aspects, spotty small surface hoar may be buried down ~70cm (March 7), down 90cm (Feb 26), and >1m (Feb 15).

Avalanche Summary

Several natural slab avalanches occurred from steep paths in the highway corridor, with an average size of 2.5; they occurred in the last 24 hours and were triggered by the consistent strong south winds.

On Friday, there was a report of a skier involvement in a size 2 slab avalanche in steep terrain in Puff Daddy failing on the Mar 11th suncrust.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.