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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 3rd, 2019–Mar 4th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Its finally warming!!Keep an eye out on solar S-W aspects as the sun starts to bake them, You will see increased reactivity in point releases.

Weather Forecast

Monday: Sunny, No new precipitation expected. Overnight low: -18 and afternoon high: -10 C. Light E windsTuesday: Sunny with cloudy periods, Low -18 high -9C, Light East ridge windsMountain weather forecast available at Avalanche Canada.

Snowpack Summary

The upper snowpack remains faceted on all aspects. Wind effect in open terrain from previous SW and now N winds. Much of the mid-pack is faceted with some strength and support on skis but not always under foot. Isolated sensitivity to Jan 18th layer at treeline and below, but not consistent to all areas. Large depth hoar on the ground, everywhere.

Avalanche Summary

A road patrol down highway 93S did not reveal much in the way of new avalanches, 1 Size 1 loose dry on steep alpineĀ  NW aspect slope covering recent ski tracks. A bit more wind in the area is adding to the cohesion in the snow pack.

Confidence

Due to the quality of field observations

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.