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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 4th, 2019–Jan 7th, 2019

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

There has been significant Wind Slab development with the recent extreme wind event. Expect these new Wind Slabs to become more reactive with the rising freezing level on Saturday.

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY 10-15 cm of precipitation with strong SW winds and gusts up to 90km/h SATURDAY Freezing Levels rising to 1900m with winds easing to 40 km/h. Sunny.SUNDAY 5-10 cm precipitation with a 1200m freezing Level and Moderate SW winds.

Snowpack Summary

15-20cm of storm snow with Extreme SW winds has led to significant Wind Slab development in lee terrain. Expect these wind Slabs to become more reactive as the freezing level rises to 1900m on Saturday. The mid snowpack is generally well settled but there is potential for avalanches to step down to deeper weak layers.Surface Snow is moist to 1550m.

Avalanche Summary

Limited visibility during this storm cycle.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Saturday

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.