Avalanche forecast

Central Cascades

Central Oregon Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Sun
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired 7 months ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

On Saturday, small wet loose avalanches will be possible on steep slopes that have been heated from the sun. This problem will increase throughout the day as slopes receive extended sun exposure. If you find yourself sinking into wet, slushy snow above your boot top, seek shadier or less steep slopes.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–1.5

    Although there have been minimal reports and observations of Wet Loose avalanche activity over the past few days, it is hard to ignore the high temperatures we are seeing, including a slight warming trend from Friday into Saturday.  Consistent valley inversions have made for rather sporadic overnight temperatures, with elevations above ~6500 ft not seeing below-freezing air temps. Radiational cooling of the snow surface has allowed enough of a surface re-freeze for this Wet Loose hazard to start the morning at a Low danger rating. That being said, it won't take long for the day to heat up and surface snow to get slushy in the sun. When this happens, it will become possible to trigger wet loose avalanches on steep solar slopes (SE - SW).

    It is unlikely that you will trigger an avalanche large enough to bury or injure a rider, but even small Wet Loose avalanches can easily knock you off your feet. The heavy snow characteristic of these avalanches can make slides difficult to escape from, and therefore they can have especially high consequence in the presenece of terrain traps. Roller balling, pinwheels, and recent avalanche activity are great warnings that current timing may be in line with a wet loose problem. When in doubt, seek shaded terrain or low angle slopes.

    (1/15/2026)

    Pinwheels were easy to trigger on steep sunny slopes near Three Finger Jack on Thursday.

    Photo: Elliott Reed

Avalanche Discussion

Touring around Tam Rim on Friday, I am happy to report that there is still cold, soft surface snow to be found, primarily on sheltered North facing terrain. In general, the snow surfaces in the Central Cascades are currently quite variable and change significantly with aspect, elevation, and time of day. If you want to seek a pleasant riding experience for Saturday, keep all of these factors in mind. A bit of intention and pre-planning can result in a rewarding utilization of the ample skiing riding that still exists, despite our low snow year and unseasonably warm temps!

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