Avalanche forecast

Ogden

Issued Feb 16, 2026valid to Feb 17, 2026Utah Avalanche Center

Avalanche danger

Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline

Out of date — this forecast expired 6 months ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

There is a MODERATE avalanche danger on mid and upper-elevation slopes facing northwest, north, and east - including upper-elevation slopes facing west - where it is possible to trigger an avalanche up to 18 inches deep and over a hundred feet wide, failing on a buried persistent weak layer. Slopes that are wind-loaded from strong winds blowing from the south/southwest are the most susceptible to avalanche.

The Utah Avalanche Center has issued an Avalanche Watch as heavy snowfall beginning this evening accompanied by strong winds will create dangerous avalanche conditions this week.

Avalanche problems

Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Possible
Size
2
The January dry spell left a widespread persistent weak layer (PWL) of faceted snow northerly-facing slopes at the mid and upper elevations, including upper-elevation slopes facing west and east, and this layer is now buried underneath the 6-14 inches of snow from this past Wednesday. This PWL is evident in the gray stripe shown in the photo below from Kaufman near Monte Cristo on Friday . Watch UAC Director Paige Pagnucco's video under Additional Info (below) on how this PWL has developed.

Wind-loaded slopes are the most likely to avalanche on this PWL where the wind has created a stronger slab above this buried PWL.

This PWL structure will create dangerous avalanche conditions with heavy snowfall and strong winds beginning later today and lasting through much of this week.

Special Announcement

Join the UAC for the first "Stay and Play Avalanche Course" at Bear River Lodge in the Uintas, March 19th-22nd. This course is designed for snowmobilers by snowmobilers, where you will learn avalanche rescue, riding skills, and how to survive in the backcountry. Come enjoy all the luxury offerings at Bear River Lodge and improve your skills along the way.

You can find details and sign up HERE.

Recent Activity

We received no observations from Sunday, but two reports from Saturday include

- Josh Martineau on Bountiful Peak

- Derek DeBruin on Cutler Ridge

Both Josh and Derek reported a poor snowpack structure of faceted snow.

You can view all recent observations here.

Snow and Weather

6 am: Skies are partly cloudy and temperatures range from 25°-35° F. Winds are blowing from the south/southwest and strong, with gusts of 30-45 mph along exposed slopes and ridges at the mid and upper elevations.

Today: Skies will become mostly cloudy with temperatures in the upper 30's °F. Winds will increase throughout the day.

Tonight and into Tuesday: Strong winds, with gusts over 50 mph along exposed mid and upper-level ridges. Heavy snowfall overnight and into Tuesday, with 6-10 inches of new snow by late Tuesday.

Heavy snowfall is expected again Wednesday and Thursday, with snowfall totals of two to three feet by later Thursday.

Additional Info

Learn more about Persistent Weak Layers in the video above -

General Announcements

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

Observations and Avalanches

Backcountry Emergency Procedures