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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 28th, 2013–Nov 29th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Purcells.

If you've been out recently and have observations, please drop us a line at [email protected].

Confidence

Poor - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

An approaching winter storm looks like it will hit this region on Sunday.Friday and Saturday: Flurries. Moderate westerly winds at ridgetop. Freezing level around 900 m.Sunday: 5 to 10 cm with low confidence. It's quite possible that twice this amount could fall. Expect strong SW ridgetop winds and freezing level around 500 m.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanche activity has been reported.

Snowpack Summary

Snowpack depths at treeline are approximately 70-100 cm. Alpine conditions are highly variable due to earlier redistribution of snow by strong winds. Probably the most important layer we've heard about in this region is a crust near the base of the snowpack that has sugary facets associated with it. In mid November, several large avalanches were reported on this weakness. A recent snowpack test in the backcountry near Kicking Horse on a NW aspect gave moderate but "sudden" results, indicating this layer is likely still trigerable. While this layer is probably slowly gaining strength, bear in mind facets take a long time and a lot of snowpack load to properly heal. The most likely place you'd trigger this layer is on smooth, planar, north facing slopes, especially if the snowpack is unusually shallow in that area.Recent temperature fluctuations, with little or no snow in the past week, mean you'll likely encounter a variety of snow surfaces, such as crusts, old wind slabs and shimmering surface hoar.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.