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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 22nd, 2012–Apr 23rd, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Below Threshold.
Treeline
Below Threshold.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Below Threshold.
Treeline
Below Threshold.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Purcells.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Scattered cloud is forecast for Monday with the possibility of light rain in the afternoon, particularly in the north of the region. Ridgetop winds are expected to be light to moderate from the southwest with freezing levels sitting at about 3100m.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous point releases and slab avalanches to size 2.5 were observed running within the recent storm snow on Saturday. There will be ongoing to wet snow instabilities on Monday with forecast freezing levels.

Snowpack Summary

On Thursday night, light to locally moderate amounts of snow fell forming wind slabs that most likely settled considerably or turned to wet slabs with warming over the weekend. The recently fallen snow overlies well settled powder, melt-freeze crust sandwiches and wet grains. At lower elevations, warm temperatures continue to penetrate and weaken the isothermal snowpack. Deeper in the snowpack there are layers that may not be reactive with cooler temperatures, but should be on your radar as spring brings more prolonged periods of warm weather. These layers include near surface crusts, the early-February surface hoar (about 100-170cm down) and basal facets. Cornices in region are also large and will become weak with warm temperatures.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wet Slabs

Wet Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) that is generally moist or wet when the flow of liquid water weakens the bond between the slab and the surface below (snow or ground). They often occur during prolonged warming events and/or rain-on-snow events. Wet Slabs can be very unpredictable and destructive.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.