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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 12th, 2013–Feb 13th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Cariboos.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: Light snow early then a mix of sun and cloud. The freezing level drops to 800 m. Winds are light to moderate from the northwest. Thursday: A mix of sun and cloud. The freezing level is near valley bottom. Winds are light from the northwest. Friday: Mainly cloudy with a chance of light snow. The freezing level could jump as high as 1400 m. Winds are light to moderate from the southwest.

Avalanche Summary

No much activity reported in the last couple days. There was one observed cornice failure that pulled out a size 2.5 slab on the underlying slope. It was reported on Monday but was probably a day or two old.

Snowpack Summary

The snow surface consists of wind slab in exposed lee alpine terrain, sun crust on solar aspects, and surface hoar or facets on shady slopes. Below this up to 40 cm of settled storm snow sits on old wind slabs and recently buried weak layers. The late January surface hoar, sun crust, and/or facet layer is down around 80 cm deep and remains a concern for triggering. Use extra caution on large open slopes, cutblocks and convex rolls at and below treeline where the buried surface hoar may be preserved.Cornices are reported to be large throughout the region. The mid-pack is generally well settled and strong and the average snowpack depth at treeline elevations is near 200 cm.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.