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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 16th, 2026–Mar 17th, 2026

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Cariboos, Blue River, McBride, Premier, Quesnel, Sugarbowl.

Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended.

Strong wind, heavy precipitation, and elevated freezing levels could result in natural avalanches at all elevations.

Confidence

Moderate

  • We are confident the likelihood of avalanches will increase with the forecast weather.
  • We are uncertain about forecast precipitation amounts.

Avalanche Summary

At the time of publishing we had not received reports of new avalanches, but we expect that a natural avalanche cycle started on Monday.

Over the weekend, only a few small skier-triggered wind slabs were observed.

Snowpack Summary

By Tuesday morning precipitation will likely switch from snow to rain, except in the alpine. The upper snowpack is expected to become saturated from the rain below treeline. In the alpine, extreme southwest wind will form deep deposits on north and east aspects.

A crust from early this month is buried 20 to 40 cm at treeline and below.

Two more crusts, with facets above them, can be found down 70 to 150 cm. These crusts remain a concern in shallow, rocky areas.

The remainder of the snowpack is well settled and bonded.

Weather Summary

Monday Night
Cloudy. 10 to 30 cm of snow at treeline, rain below. 80 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0°C. Freezing level 1900 m.

Tuesday
Cloudy. 3 to 10 mm of rain at treeline, snow in the alpine. 70 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 2°C. Freezing level 2300 m.

Wednesday
Cloudy. 5 to 25 cm of snow at treeline, rain below. 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 1°C. Freezing level 2000 m.

Thursday
Mostly cloudy. 5 to 15 cm of snow at treeline, rain below. 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 0°C. Freezing level 1900 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.
  • Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.
  • Avoid areas with overhead hazard.
  • Keep in mind that the high density of wet avalanches can make them destructive.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.