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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 28th, 2022–Mar 1st, 2022

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

South Rockies.

New snow, wind, and warming temperature have created dangerous avalanches conditions. Stick to conservative low-angle terrain and avoid travel in the alpine.

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to how the snowpack will react to the forecast weather.

Weather Forecast

There is some uncertainty and model disagreement around forecast snowfall amounts.

Monday Night: Flurries 5-20 cm, moderate to strong southwest wind, rising freezing levels around 2000 m.

Tuesday: Light snowfall 5-10 cm, moderate to strong southwest wind, freezing levels 2000 m.

Wednesday: Light snow overnight into Wednesday. Winds become light from the southwest, freezing levels around 1300 m. 

Thursday: Overcast, trace of snow possible, light southwest wind, freezing levels 1300 m.

Avalanche Summary

A natural size 2 storm slab avalanche was spotted by the South Rockies field team just north of Sparwood on Monday. In the southeast of the region operators reported size 1-1.5 skier controlled storm slabs and loose wet avalanches.

Snowpack Summary

Snowfall amounts have varied substantially throughout the region with the southern areas receiving the greatest values. Totals of about 30 cm in sheltered areas were reported by the end of the day on Monday. Wind loading from moderate to strong southwest wind should also be anticipated as there is now snow available for transport. New snow will need time to bond to a variety of old surfaces such as firm wind-pressed snow, sun crust on solar aspects, surface hoar, and potential cold weak crystals on shaded aspects.

The middle and lower snowpack are generally well consolidated, with a crust/facet layer from early-December found near the bottom of the snowpack. It is currently considered dormant but could become active later this season. Check out the forecaster blog for more information. 

Terrain and Travel

  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features, especially near ridge crests, roll-overs and in steep terrain.
  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
  • Stick to well supported, lower angle terrain.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.