Avalanche forecast

Banff Yoho Kootenay

Dec 24 – 25, 2024Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

While the avalanche hazard is slowly dropping, human triggering remains possible.

The recent snow has helped the ski quality, but strong alpine winds have created new wind slabs in lee areas. The primary concern is the threat of superficial slabs stepping down to the deep persistent weakness resulting in full-depth avalanches.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2

    Moderate to strong south through west winds have built wind slabs in lee features in the alpine and down into treeline. Strong winds will continue on Tuesday so watch for additional loading. These slabs are a particular concern where they sit over weak facets and could step down to the basal layers.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    Weak facets and depth hoar associated with crusts near the base of the snowpack continue to produce slab avalanches 60-100 cm deep. Any area with a stiffer slab over the mid-pack and deep facets has the potential to generate an avalanche that steps down to the deep layers and end up being quite large.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

The ski hills continue be able to trigger deep persistent slabs with explosives up to size 2, failing on the basal facets/crust. One was on a relatively low angle slope of 30-34°. They have also used explosives or ski cutting to trigger small windslabs in steep lee areas but these are becoming stubborn.

Natural avalanche activity has slowed down in the past couple days with a couple of wind triggered avalanches in steep lee alpine terrain on Sunday and no new reports on Monday.

Snowpack Summary

Thin sun crust on steep solar aspects. 15-20 cm of storm snow from the past week combined with strong W/SW winds, has formed wind slabs in alpine lee areas and down into treeline.

The mid and lower snowpack is faceted and weak, with facet/crust interfaces near the ground. This is more pronounced east of the divide, while western regions display a deeper snowpack with fewer facets.

Snowpack depths at tree-line are about 60 cm in eastern areas and 100 cm west of the divide.

Weather Summary

SW ridgetop winds will increase by Tuesday morning and slowly drop into Wednesday. Like the events over the last weekend, this system remains relatively dry and only a few cm of snow is forecast Tuesday into Wednesday. A mix of sun and cloud on Tuesday with more cloud to the west, and treeline temperatures between -4°C and -7°C.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid freshly wind-loaded features, especially near ridge crests, rollovers, and in steep terrain.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Avoid thin areas like rocky outcrops where you're most likely to trigger avalanches on deep weak layers.

Regions covered