Avalanche forecast

Lizard-Flathead

Feb 16 – 17, 2025Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Storm slabs have been reactive - start with conservative terrain and watch for signs of instability.

For the best and safest riding, seek out areas of soft snow sheltered from the wind.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–2.5

    Human-triggered avalanches are possible where a cohesive slab has formed above a persistent weak layer buried 40 to 80 cm. Storm slabs in motion may also step down to this layer.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Storm slabs will be most reactive in wind-loaded areas near ridgetops. Loose dry avalanches will also be likely in steep terrain where the new snow hasn't formed a slab.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, numerous small loose dry avalanches were observed in the Lizard Range.

On Friday, several small loose dry and storm slab avalanches were triggered by riders in the Lizard Range.

On Thursday, a small naturally triggered wind slab 5 to 15 cm deep was observed in a fan feature in the Lizard Range.

Looking forward, we expect the potential for triggering small storm slabs and loose dry avalanches will remain likely.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 25 cm of very low-density new snow from the last storm has formed small reactive slabs, especially in wind-loaded areas near ridgetops. An additional 10 to 15 cm may fall by the end of the day Sunday, increasing the potential for storm slabs.

The storm snow is sitting on 30 to 60 cm of faceted old snow. Combined, this overlies a persistent weak layer formed in late January which is a crust on sun-exposed slopes and surface hoar elsewhere. There is potential for storm slabs to step down to this deeper weak layer, triggering large avalanches.

The mid and lower snowpack is generally well settled with no other layers of concern.

Weather Summary

Saturday Night

Cloudy with 3 to 8 cm of snow. 15 to 30 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -14 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of snow. 5 to 10 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -13 °C.

Monday

Mostly cloudy with 0 to 4 cm of snow. 5 to 15 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -14 °C.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and clouds. 15 to 25 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -15 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep your guard up as storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Approach steep and open slopes at and below treeline cautiously, as buried surface hoar may exist.
  • Be careful as you transition into wind-affected terrain.

Regions covered