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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 24th, 2019–Mar 25th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

Avoid steep, rocky terrain in the alpine where there is a shallow or highly variable snowpack depth. This will reduce the likelihood of triggering large persistent slab avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing / Light, northeasterly winds / Alpine low -3 C / Freezing level 1000 m.MONDAY: Sunny / Light, northeasterly winds / Alpine high 0 C / Freezing level 1500 m.TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light, southwesterly winds / Alpine high 0 C / Freezing level 1400 m.WEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Moderate, easterly winds / Alpine high 0 C / Freezing level 1500 m.

Avalanche Summary

Natural avalanche activity has tapered off, but concern remains for human triggering persistent slab avalanches on a layer of facets that are down 30-50 cm; especially in steep, rocky alpine terrain with a shallow or highly variable snowpack depth.

Snowpack Summary

At upper elevations, 30-50 cm of well settled snow overlies weak facets (sugary snow) that were around March. 10th. which is currently the primary layer of concern for human triggering persistent slab avalanches.Lower down in the snowpack, the base is composed of weak facets. Large avalanches initiating on these facets are most likely in rocky, alpine terrain where there is a shallow or highly variable snowpack depth. They would likely require a large trigger such as a cornice fall, snowmobile, or a group of people standing in the same spot.The prolonged warm spell has transitioned sun exposed slopes in the alpine and all aspects at treeline and below towards becoming isothermal (0 C throughout the snowpack). In these areas that have entered spring conditions, the avalanche hazard will fluctuate greatly depending on the strength of the overnight freeze and how quickly the snowpack is warmed up each day. Check out this guide to managing avalanche hazard during spring conditions HERE.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.