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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 4th, 2017–Jan 5th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Avalanche hazard is slowly improving, but slabs remain sensitive to human triggering. Cautious terrain selection is still in order.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Thursday will be mainly cloudy with isolated flurries. Temperatures will be near -15 °C with light westerly winds. No precipitation is expected for the rest of the week.

Avalanche Summary

In the past 36hrs there have been a few naturally triggered slab avalanches have been observed in Alpine and Treeline terrain on S and SE aspects up to size 2.0. Some of these slabs have stepped down to the Dec 18th layer or the Nov crust layer.

Snowpack Summary

Little change over the past 24hrs. Widespread wind slabs up to 10cm thick in Alpine areas from normal and reverse wind loading. Evidence of recent natural avalanche cycle stepping down to Dec 18th interface and the Nov crust layer in some areas (such as Highwood Pass). Cold temps continue to draw out what little strength is left of the low elevation snowpack.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.