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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 18th, 2016–Nov 19th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Jasper.

New low density snow came in with little wind leaving loose snow on ledges and in gullies. This will potentially impact climbers.

Weather Forecast

Seasonal temperatures with light flurries and no significant  wind through the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

20cm of low density storm snow sits on top of a 10cm thick laminated crust at tree line, below the crust is 20-30cm of large grain snow to ground. Pockets of wind slab may exist in the alpine and resting on the crust up to 2600m. Below treeline is un-skiable due to lack of snow. Early season conditions exist at all elevations.

Avalanche Summary

Some loose dry activity noted on steep slopes.  This could be an issue for ice climbers in the high alpine.  (Most lower elevation ice climbs are not in shape).

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations on Friday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.