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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 26th, 2016–Mar 27th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Jasper.

http://www.pc.gc.ca/apps/links/goto_e.asp?destination=Back-country users. Accept that our persistent weakness will be with us to the end of the season. Adjust your spring skiing expectations accordingly! 

Weather Forecast

Flurries expected by Sunday night in the Icefields with forecasted snow amount of 8cms. Rain or wet flurries below 1800ms. Slow progress into spring for the areas around the Divide but, next week shows great promise for warm sunny spring skiing and goggle tan enthusiasts. 

Snowpack Summary

Moist surface snow and a strengthening mid-pack as the snowpack settles into spring at TL and BTL on solar aspects. Good overnight recovery with temps to almost -10 and rising 0 in the alpine. Significant variation in snowpack depth through-out the forecast area with a large proportion being shallow and valley bottoms below 1800m in spring bloom.

Avalanche Summary

Field teams in the Icefields area reporting several loose wet slides on solar aspects in the south end of the park. One sz 2.5 on a SW'ly aspect near the Boundary. Large serac collapse on the north glacier of Mt. Athabasca. Debris running 100ms wide x 300ms long and does not appear to have triggered any slab in the surrounding snowpack.

Confidence

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.