Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 12th, 2021 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is considerable. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada kdevine, Avalanche Canada

The storm and associated natural avalanche activity has tapered off to some degree, but human triggered avalanches remain likely. Conservative terrain selection is recommended.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY NIGHT - Mainly cloudy with a few flurries, up to 5 cm / light southwest wind / alpine low temperature near -6 

WEDNESDAY - Mainly cloudy with flurries, 5-10 cm / moderate southeast wind / alpine high temperature near -6

THURSDAY - Mainly cloudy / moderate southeast wind / alpine high temperature near -5 

FRIDAY - Flurries, 5-10 cm / moderate southwest wind / alpine high temperature near -6

Avalanche Summary

Human triggered avalanches are expected to remain likely on Wednesday, especially in wind loaded areas.

At the time of publishing, there were a few explosives triggered storm slab avalanches to size 2 reported on north aspects in the alpine, in the north of the region.

On Monday, there were reports of widespread natural and explosives triggered avalanches up to size 3. The largest avalanches were reported in the north of the region where there has been more recent snow. The avalanches being reported closer to Terrace were generally in the size 1-2 range.

There were a few natural and explosives triggered storm slab avalanches size 1-2.5 reported in the region on Sunday.

Snowpack Summary

With continued flurries Tuesday night and into Wednesday, storm slabs will likely continue to be reactive to human triggers at all elevations.

Aside from this new snow, the main concerns vary throughout the region. In the Shames area, a weak layer of surface hoar has been reported in sheltered areas down around 100-160 cm. 

A bit further north in the Nass/Sterling/Beaupre areas, there is potentially still concern about an older weak layer overlying a crust that is now roughly 160-180 cm deep. 

In the far north of the region, there is concern about weak snow at the bottom of the snowpack.

Terrain and Travel

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded terrain features.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

Storm slabs are expected to be widespread and are likely still easy to trigger, especially in wind loaded areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

There are a few different persistent weak layers being reported throughout the region. They are all generally buried between 100-200 cm and tend to consist of either surface hoar or crusts with faceted snow sitting on them.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible - Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Jan 13th, 2021 4:00PM

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