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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 14th, 2019–Nov 15th, 2019
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: Glacier.

A warm, juicy storm is bearing down Rogers Pass this weekend, bringing up to 50cm of snow by Sunday. This sudden loading by heavy snow will stress the shallow, early-season snowpack. Expect natural avalanches in the alpine.

Weather Forecast

A series of warm storms should hit Rogers Pass this weekend, bringing 10cm Friday and 35-50cm Saturday night through Sunday. Freezing levels will gradually rise to above 2000m on Sunday and winds will be moderate/strong from the SW. Check the Mountain Weather Forecast for updates.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is slowly building at treeline and above, but diminishes rapidly as you lose elevation, with only 25cm at Rogers Pass. 90-120cm of snow can be found at treeline but expect more in alpine lees. Limited field observations leave us guessing about the bond between surface windslabs and underlying melt-freeze crusts.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche observations from the last few days. This will change with the incoming storms over the weekend, possibly dropping up to 50cm of warm snow by Sunday afternoon.

Confidence

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Naturally triggered avalanches up to size two have been observed from alpine start zones over the past week.

  • Early season hazards such as rocks, trees and stumps are still visible.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2