Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 7th, 2019 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Storm Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.
Conrad Janzen,
Parks Canada
The avalanche hazard will remain elevated on Sunday though natural avalanche activity will taper off. Make conservative terrain choices for skiing and climbing and avoid exposure to steep slopes and terrain traps.
Summary
Weather Forecast
Another couple cm of snow is expected Saturday night. Winds will gradually start tapering off as a cooler air system moves in on Sunday and the weather clears. Expect an alpine high of -8'C to -12'C on Sunday with a mix of sun and cloud and light to moderate ridge top winds from the NW.
Snowpack Summary
30-50+ cm of snow has fallen since Tuesday with moderate to strong SW winds. A storm slab has formed at treeline and above. Below the storm slab, the snowpack structure is generally weak, consisting of facets and depth hoar. The Nov crust exists up to 2400m and ~30cm up from ground. Snowpack depths at treeline are 80-150+cm and deeper in lee areas.
Avalanche Summary
Numerous avalanches have been observed and reported up to size 2.5 over the last 72 hours, including at least two skier triggered size 2's in the Lake Louise backcountry. These have primarily been storm slabs in the new snow though some have scrubbed down into the facets. Explosive control at the local ski areas has produced results up to Sz 2.5.
Confidence
Problems
Storm Slabs
30-50 cm of recent snow accompanied by strong SW winds have formed a storm slab in many open areas at treeline and in the alpine. Human triggering of this slab will remain likely on Sunday though natural avalanche activity will slow down.
- If triggered the storm slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
- Use caution in the alpine and treeline. Storm snow is forming reactive slabs.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
In many places the snowpack structure under the new snow is weak, consisting of facets and depth hoar. If an avalanche is triggered it has potential to scrub down to these deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
- Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, and shooting cracks.
- Be aware of thin areas that may propogate to deeper instabilites.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 8th, 2019 4:00PM
