Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 28th, 2023 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Persistent Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeA complex snowpack is making for challenging travel conditions in avalanche terrain. Exercise caution during this time of uncertainty.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate
Avalanche Summary
Several explosive-triggered small wind slabs were reported on Wednesday in alpine terrain in the northern Purcells. One of these avalanches stepped down to basal facets, producing a size 2 avalanche.
Snowpack Summary
A generally well-settled upper snowpack sits atop a particularly complex snowpack with several layers of note.
A layer of buried surface hoar is down roughly 50 to 70 cm and remains concerning in much of the region. It is less of a concern in areas where a strong, supportive crust exists above the surface hoar layer.
The lower snowpack is typically characterized by sugary, facetted crystals and a crust.
Snowpack depths at treeline average roughly 70-120 cm. However, there is significant variability in both snowpack structure and depths across the region.
Weather Summary
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy with no precipitation, southwest alpine winds 0 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -5 °C.
Friday
Mostly sunny with no precipitation, south alpine winds 0 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -3 °C.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy with no precipitation, south alpine winds 0 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -3 °C.
Sunday
Mostly cloudy with trace amounts of snow, northwest alpine winds 0 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.
More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Terrain and Travel Advice
- In times of uncertainty conservative terrain choices are our best defense.
- Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rock outcroppings and steep convex terrain where triggering is most likely.
Problems
Persistent Slabs
The primary layer of concern in much of the region is a layer of surface hoar down 50-70 cm. If triggered, avalanches on this layer could step down to deeper weak layers.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
A layer of weak facets near the ground may be reactive to human triggering. Especially in shallow, rocky areas in alpine terrain where the layer is not being capped by a crust.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 29th, 2023 4:00PM