Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Dec 28th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Persistent Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada isnowsell, Avalanche Canada

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A complex snowpack is making for challenging travel conditions in avalanche terrain. Exercise caution during this time of uncertainty.

Summary

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Several explosive-triggered small wind slabs were reported on Wednesday in alpine terrain in the northern Purcells. One of these avalanches stepped down to basal facets, producing a size 2 avalanche.

Snowpack Summary

A generally well-settled upper snowpack sits atop a particularly complex snowpack with several layers of note.

A layer of buried surface hoar is down roughly 50 to 70 cm and remains concerning in much of the region. It is less of a concern in areas where a strong, supportive crust exists above the surface hoar layer.

The lower snowpack is typically characterized by sugary, facetted crystals and a crust.

Snowpack depths at treeline average roughly 70-120 cm. However, there is significant variability in both snowpack structure and depths across the region.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Partly cloudy with no precipitation, southwest alpine winds 0 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -5 °C.

Friday

Mostly sunny with no precipitation, south alpine winds 0 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -3 °C.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy with no precipitation, south alpine winds 0 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -3 °C.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy with trace amounts of snow, northwest alpine winds 0 to 20 km/h, treeline temperature -6 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • In times of uncertainty conservative terrain choices are our best defense.
  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas, rock outcroppings and steep convex terrain where triggering is most likely.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

The primary layer of concern in much of the region is a layer of surface hoar down 50-70 cm. If triggered, avalanches on this layer could step down to deeper weak layers.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

A layer of weak facets near the ground may be reactive to human triggering. Especially in shallow, rocky areas in alpine terrain where the layer is not being capped by a crust.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Dec 29th, 2023 4:00PM