Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 1st, 2012 10:42AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada jlammers, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Monday: light to moderate snowfall continuing overnight - strong to extreme southeast winds - freezing level at 800m Tuesday: light snowfall - strong southeasterly winds - freezing level at 700m Wednesday: moderate to heavy snowfall starting tuesday evening - strong southwest winds - freezing level at 700m

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday sluffing to size 2 was observed in steep, sun-exposed terrain. There has also been an increase in glide crack activity on solar aspects, especially where rocky ground cover is smooth and slabby. I expect a spike in wind slab avalanche activity with forecast weather on Monday.

Snowpack Summary

Light amounts of recently fallen snow override a variety of old surfaces that include wind slab, crusts and spotty surface hoar. Spring-like conditions have existed over the past several days forming crusts on solar aspects at all elevations that become moist under sunny skies during the day. Melt conditions exist on all aspects below 1000 m, with no significant re-freeze. Below all this, down 60-120 cm exists a very spotty surface hoar/ facet interface. Operations from the field noted no recent activity on this layer. I suspect it's becoming dormant, but would be suspicious of large triggers like cornice fall, or under the weight of a sled and it's rider in specific areas. Cornices in the region are reported to be very large and potentially unstable.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Forecast strong winds and new snow will create fresh windslabs on lee terrain.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 5

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
Cornices are reported to be very large and potentially unstable at this time. A cornice fall could be destructive by itself, and may also act as a trigger on the slope below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 6

Valid until: Apr 2nd, 2012 9:00AM