Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

THURSDAY: Unsettled weather with flurries bringing 5-15 cm of snow, moderate and gusty south wind, alpine temperature around -6 C.FRIDAY: More flurries with 5-15 cm, moderate south wind, alpine temperature around -4 C.SATURDAY: Still more flurries with 5-15 cm, moderate southwest wind, alpine temperature around -6 C.

Reports from Tuesday indicate the persistent slab problem is alive and well throughout the region. A few natural size 2-2.5 avalanches were triggered in the Bear Pass / Stewart area by solar input or cornices. A skier also remotely triggered a size 2 avalanche on the February facet/crust interface on a moraine feature around 1150 m (40 cm deep). Similar activity was reported on Monday, including a size 3 avalanche that was remotely triggered from flat terrain by a snowmobiler north of Stewart. Smaller natural avalanches were also reported on Tuesday, including size 1-2 wind slabs from recent wind loading and size 1.5-2 loose moist avalanches in steep solar-facing terrain.In addition to the ongoing persistent slab problem, the incoming weather pattern is looking to continually build fresh wind slabs.

Fresh wind slabs are forming in the lee of exposed terrain as unsettled weather brings small amounts of new snow and moderate southwest winds. Storm snow from last week is continuing to settle and get redistributed by predominately southerly winds. Old wind slabs may be reactive above a 40 cm deep rain crust. At treeline and above, recent loading has stressed a 50-100 cm deep weak interface composed of facets, crust, and surface hoar from late February. Recent reports suggest this layer is still reactive throughout the region, especially in the north.