Register
Get forecast notifications
Create an account to receive email notifications when forecasts are published.
Login
Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 12th, 2016–Apr 13th, 2016
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold
Alpine
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be below threshold
Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be below threshold
Below Treeline
Below Threshold
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be below threshold

Regions: South Coast.

Spring conditions with a brief return to winter in the alpine. Expect to find thin wind slabs sitting on slippery crusts.

Weather Forecast

WEDNESDAY: Freezing level: 1500m, cloudy , light southerly ridgetop winds. THURSDAY: Freezing level: 1900m, mix of sun and cloud,  light variable ridgetop winds. FRIDAY: Freezing level: 1700m, cloudy, light southerly ridgetop winds.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Monday.

Snowpack Summary

Cornices are large, fragile, and could trigger deep slab avalanches that run to valley bottoms. Monitoring the overnight freeze of the snow surface is very important during the spring. If the snow surface does not freeze overnight or if the crust is only a few cm thick, the effect of daytime heating and solar radiation will weaken the snowpack much more quickly than it would if there is a well frozen thick crust. This is because the crust must first melt before the sun can weaken the snowpack. There is an old crust layer down approximately 50cm in the Duffey area and north of Pemberton. This layer has generally been dormant but resulted in a couple large avalanches during the last major warming event and produced a couple explosive triggered avalanches on Thursday. With continued warming, this layer could wake-up in isolated locations such as steep, rocky faces. Glide cracks are widespread, active, and best avoided. Low elevation and thin snowpack areas have become isothermal, meaning the snowpack is 0 degrees Celsius throughout. An isothermal snowpack is more prone to full depth wet slab avalanches during the heat of the day, especially on steep, rocky faces.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Be on the lookout for fresh thin wind slabs sitting on slippery crusts in the alpine.
Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.>Travel on ridgetops to avoid wind slabs on slopes below.>

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Cornices

Cornices have a nasty habit of running surprisingly long distances.
Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.>Pay attention to overhead hazards like cornices.>Cornices become weak with daytime heating, so travel early on exposed slopes. >

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely

Expected Size: 3 - 6

Loose Wet

When the new snow in the alpine is warmed by the sun for the first time natural loose wet avalanches will be soon to follow.
Look for signs of surface instabilities such as pinwheeling and point releasing near cliffs. >Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet. >

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3