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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 10th, 2014–Mar 11th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Conditions are still ripe for human triggering. Deeply buried weak layers could produce large avalanches. Conservative route selection is strongly recommended. Solar radiation will also be a factor over the next few days.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Tuesday will bring a mix of sun and cloud with alpine temperatures near -5 degrees. Winds will be moderate from the west and no new precipitation is expected. Although freezing levels are only expected to climb to 1300m, solar radiation will be intense, especially in the afternoon.

Avalanche Summary

One new size 1.5 naturally triggered slab was observed today at 2200m on a NW aspect. A widespread natural avalanche cycle has occurred over the past few days up to size 3.0 on all aspects and all elevations.

Snowpack Summary

Snowpack is settling rapidly with warm temps. Rain crust found below 1900m from rain an d wet snow event over the weekend. Solar aspects are moist in the afternoon. Storm slabs at treeline are between 20 and 40cm thick and continue to be reactive in the easy to moderate range. The Feb 10th persistent weak layer is buried 80 to 100cm is is responsible for a fairly widespread avalanche cycle up to size 2.5 over the past few days.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.