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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 12th, 2016–Dec 13th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

It's all about the wind! Best avoid steep slopes where recent winds have blown new snow into pillowy slabs.

Confidence

Moderate - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday: Cold and dry and mostly clear throughout the period. Treeline temperatures in the -8 to -10C range, winds light, initially from the northeast, becoming easterly on Wednesday. Some cloud appearing Thursday.

Avalanche Summary

On Sunday, a small cornice was human-triggered and loose snow avalanches were noted in steeper terrain. Otherwise no notable avalanche activity occurred. On Saturday, ski cutting was producing very soft slabs, in leeward terrain features and a few natural size 1 loose avalanches were also observed.

Snowpack Summary

Around 20cm of new low density snow has buried the heavily wind affected surfaces from the strong outflow winds last week. The old surface is highly variable and may include hard wind pressed or scoured areas, old wind slabs, weak faceted snow, or small surface hoar. Expect the new snow to be bonding poorly with this interface. The cold temperatures appear to be preserving the old wind slabs from the end of last week and they still may be reactive to human triggering in isolated areas. In high elevation terrain, moderate southwest winds over the weekend may have redistributed some of the new storm snow and soft slabs may exist in immediate leeward features. The widespread mid-November crust is typically down 1-2m in the snowpack. Recent snowpack and explosive tests have shown the crust to be unreactive, but it could remain a problem in shallow alpine start zones.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.